Mark Stimson Should be Sacked as Gillingham FC Manager

This petition introduces a simple solution to Gillingham FC's problem of poor results.
The club is Gillingham FC and I've assumed it wants to maximise the number of league points that it scores per season ? (Hopefully)

Therefore in my opinion it needs to employ the best manager it can to do this, right ?.

Looking at this logically;

There are five types of manager: poor,fair, good, excellent and world class. But the club cannot observe the quality of its manager directly. Instead it looks at results on the pitch.

The club has three choices to make:
= the length of the honeymoon period during which it will not consider sacking a new manager,
= the level of the trapdoor, the average number of points scored per game; if the managers record falls below this, he will get the sack,
= the weight that it will give to more recent games compared to earlier ones. The club increases this weight by increasing the amount of smoothing it applies when keeping track of the managers results.

The choice is complicated by the likelihood that a change of manager will initially inspire the team and get a boost in performance, and then require some time to rebuild, during which the teams performance will drop. And even the best manager will eventually see his performance drop somewhat with age, and even more as his skills and relationship with the club decay.

Whenever a new manager is appointed, he will demand a contract for a number of seasons, and a hefty salary. If he is sacked before his contract expires, the club will have to pay it up, using money that could otherwise have been used to buy success on the pitch, for example through buying new players.

So the essence of the clubs dilemma is this: every time it sacks a manager it may get a short-lived boost in performance, but it incurs a substantial cost and a subsequent period of rebuilding, both of which cost points. But if it doesnt sack a mediocre manager, it will continue to perform badly.
If the club sets the honeymoon period too short, it risks wasting money by sacking a lot of managers, some of whom might have turned out to be excellent or world class, but unlucky in their first few games. If it sets the honeymoon period too long, it will keep even poor managers for longer than their performance would merit.If the club sets the trapdoor too high, it will sack a lot of managers, some of whom could be superb managers going through a sticky spell. Too low, and even mediocre managers will never get the sack.

If the club relies too much on the most recent results, it will sack a lot of managers, as even a short bad patch will lead to dismissal. If the club uses too little smoothing, it will take a long while to sack even those managers whose performance has aged and
decayed.


Given the above fair reasoning I petition that Mark Stimson of Gillingham FC should be sacked as his record is:

Played 47(League and Cup)

Won 12

Drawn 13

Lost 22


Not good enough....and a risk worth taking for the club.